Z-Score Insolvency
Prediction Calculator
Calculate the
probability of financial distress to your business
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In 1968 Edward Altman developed the
Z-Score to assess a business's financial health and to predict the
likelihood of financial distress.
The Z-score use
5 popular financial ratios and coefficients to describe the likelihood
that a business will experience financial distress within 1 year of the
financial results used, and has gained acceptance by auditors,
management accountants and courts.
Today this
internationally accepted model is used in database systems for loan
evaluation. The Z-score has an accuracy of approximately 85% and works
best for manufacturing companies, but has limited use in evaluating
financial results in property companies.
Privately held
manufacturing companies with a Z-score
of more than 3 is classified as
being in good shape and the likelihood of financial distress
within the
next year is considered slim. Similarly, a Z-score of below 1.8
indicates that a company is likely to face financial distress within
one year or less.
Please note: We
are able to benchmark your business against industry norms.
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Input source reference: Privately held companies (manufacturing
industry)
Green cells are from
the Income Statement / Red cells are from the Balance
Sheet
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Predictive
distress score
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EBIT:
Earnings before interest and tax
Calculate: Total
revenue minus expenses, excluding tax and interest
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Total assets
Calculate: Sum of all
current and long-term assets
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Net sales
Calculate: Total sales for the period
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Market
value of equity (Private entities)
Calculate: Total
assets minus total liabilities (including shareholder loans)
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Total
liabilities
Calculate: Sum of all
current and long-term liabilities
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Current
assets
Calculate: Sum of all
current assets
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Current
liabilities
Calculate: Sum
of all current liabilities
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Retained
earnings
Calculate: Sum
of
retained earnings balance
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Please
note: The above predictive
scores are based upon manufacturing (privately held) industry norms,
and may differ from
industry to industry.
Please note that we are able to benchmark your business, whether
service or manufacturing in nature. Visit our website for more information.
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